Bitcoin Faces Potential Price Crash After Fed and White House Announcements
In a dramatic shift that has sent ripples across the cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin is facing the threat of a significant price correction following a key monetary policy revelation by the U.S. Federal Reserve. As reported by Forbes on April 20, 2025, this “apocalyptic” price shock could be triggered by an aggressive contraction in the global money supply — a move now confirmed by the White House as part of broader economic tightening measures.
This news has raised serious concerns among Bitcoin investors, traders, and crypto analysts who believe the digital asset could be on the verge of a steep decline.
The Fed’s Bombshell: A $4.1 Trillion Decline in Global Money Supply
According to data from The Kobeissi Letter, one of the most watched macroeconomic newsletters, the global money supply has fallen by $4.1 trillion in recent months — now sitting at approximately $104.4 trillion. This marks the lowest level seen since August of the previous year and reflects a significant tightening of global liquidity.
Historically, there has been a strong correlation between Bitcoin price movements and changes in the global money supply. The data suggests that Bitcoin’s price tends to react with a lag of roughly 10 weeks to significant shifts in monetary policy. With the current downtrend in liquidity, analysts warn that Bitcoin could face a drop of up to $20,000 in the coming weeks if historical patterns repeat.
Bitcoin’s Recent Rally at Risk
Bitcoin (BTC) recently surged past the $85,000 mark, hitting all-time highs earlier in 2025. The rally was driven by institutional adoption, approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and growing investor interest as a hedge against inflation. However, that bullish sentiment now appears to be under threat.
As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $84,500, down slightly from its recent highs. While this may seem like a minor pullback, analysts argue it could be the beginning of a more significant decline if macroeconomic pressures continue to mount.
How the Fed’s Policy Impacts Bitcoin
The Federal Reserve has been walking a tightrope in 2025 — attempting to bring inflation under control while avoiding tipping the U.S. economy into a recession. Despite expectations for rate cuts, the Fed has been cautious, opting to maintain or even increase rates to combat persistent inflation.
This strategy has led to a reduction in available liquidity, which historically affects risk assets first — including stocks and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. With less money circulating in the economy, investors tend to pull back from speculative assets, leading to downward pressure on crypto prices.
Moreover, the reduced money supply also impacts leverage in the system, meaning fewer traders can borrow to invest in Bitcoin. This further dampens buying activity and could accelerate a price drop if confidence begins to wane.
Market Sentiment and Investor Caution
Investor sentiment is beginning to show signs of hesitation. Crypto influencers and analysts on platforms like X (formerly Twitter) are already warning of a potential "flash crash" scenario, especially if the Fed’s stance remains hawkish.
Technical indicators also suggest Bitcoin is approaching overbought territory, which, combined with tightening liquidity, could create the perfect storm for a correction. Analysts have noted that support zones around $76,000 and $72,000 could be tested in the coming weeks.
What This Means for Crypto Investors
For retail and institutional investors alike, the key takeaway is to stay alert and informed. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive due to growing adoption and its fixed supply, the short-term outlook could be volatile. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators like the money supply, inflation data, and Fed policy decisions is crucial for navigating the next few months.
It’s also important to consider portfolio diversification. With uncertainty rising, having a mix of asset classes — including stablecoins, gold, or even cash — may help buffer against crypto market volatility.
Takeaways
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Bitcoin price prediction April 2025: With the Fed tightening policy, experts foresee a possible $20,000 drop in BTC price.
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Global money supply and Bitcoin: A $4.1 trillion drop in global liquidity could trigger a delayed but sharp correction in the crypto market.
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Federal Reserve news crypto impact: Fed’s monetary tightening continues to influence risk assets, including Bitcoin.
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Bitcoin market analysis 2025: Technical and macro indicators both suggest caution in the near term.
Final Thoughts
While Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong and the long-term narrative of digital gold continues to gain traction, the current macroeconomic landscape poses serious short-term risks. The Federal Reserve’s actions, combined with decreasing global liquidity, may very well result in the largest correction of the year for BTC.
As we await further economic data and Fed updates, Bitcoin investors should remain cautious and strategic. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can hold its ground — or if this anticipated “apocalyptic” shock becomes a reality.
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